Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 85807.950488 90544.314445 95277.660203 100359.592144 105657.951579 111015.698834 116839.591772
2025-01-19 77562.628942 84784.912162 92203.797742 100383.826554 109139.449283 118219.558610 128337.392407
2025-01-26 73041.746994 82076.584898 91557.683302 102227.305357 113878.026684 126191.808273 140168.074962
2025-02-02 69626.462500 80064.924815 91215.349076 103976.787824 118140.951205 133343.024364 150855.076883
2025-02-09 66267.039893 77776.132130 90264.502681 104769.674313 121099.249591 138859.382292 159579.742043
2025-02-16 62829.394351 75141.307162 88694.085378 104648.328804 122840.982997 142864.478316 166491.940125
2025-02-23 60230.050218 73279.437772 87832.860710 105174.176372 125177.542308 147429.428025 173952.337706
2025-03-02 57657.281945 71297.579012 86698.534874 105259.680255 126901.266086 151214.260482 180464.826060
2025-03-09 56045.568598 70339.692547 86660.809828 106534.558149 129931.806769 156450.768680 188621.458865
2025-03-16 53576.779360 68251.100711 85195.683637 106041.652597 130820.260269 159151.517399 193802.944398
2025-03-23 52449.481091 67708.361651 85504.737118 107598.391338 134082.954619 164597.746000 202187.310493
2025-03-30 51152.643831 66895.847390 85436.412544 108657.481635 136721.514206 169295.293927 209696.758509
2025-04-06 49368.500216 65448.989506 84580.840937 108763.783830 138239.299381 172713.597438 215775.502532
2025-04-13 47553.798133 63902.746677 83551.405362 108613.756361 139416.636447 175713.441232 221365.186647
2025-04-20 46891.760013 63768.088054 84231.021552 110539.495231 143109.106721 181737.038715 230610.799213
2025-04-27 46246.057157 63620.126734 84867.767760 112394.234217 146709.537179 187660.715581 239768.989845
2025-05-04 45164.352358 62871.092482 84715.925931 113236.636225 149043.137871 192042.342868 247070.821219
2025-05-11 43694.602264 61570.238322 83822.582591 113107.044709 150137.803641 194891.107827 252497.682457
2025-05-18 42615.940645 60742.027008 83497.294617 113666.815670 152073.222844 198764.181805 259188.711818
2025-05-25 41386.622744 59674.967453 82829.566957 113757.827752 153394.472333 201865.422712 264929.112359
2025-06-01 40765.990442 59394.086524 83159.203291 115115.000305 156313.633501 206959.042404 273164.474090
2025-06-08 39381.024483 58045.511639 82059.898238 114590.298037 156807.460149 209005.322223 277596.438804
2025-06-15 38961.831832 57988.550296 82643.277519 116247.358085 160097.742621 214574.845840 286469.872077